The indicator catalog

50 high-level indicators spanning tightness, supply disruption, freight, sanctions, weather, and cross-market arbitrage. Each is built from the physical and financial sources listed below.

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50 of 50

Gasoline Tightness Index

Inputs

gasoline inventoriesrefinery utilizationproduct tanker arrivalsimports/exportsRBOB spreadsregional demand proxies

Data sources

EIA WPSR · EIA Petroleum & Other Liquids API · EIA historical stocks by PADD/sub-PADD · EIA WPSR refinery utilization · EIA refinery inputs by PADD · NOAA MarineCadastre AIS · AISStream · MarineTraffic/VesselFinder public pages · port authority arrival/departure schedules · terminal vessel lineups · EIA WPSR imports/exports · EIA Company Level Imports · U.S. Census trade data · AIS-derived tanker arrivals/departures · CME RBOB futures settlements · CME historical data · ICE/market-data vendor if licensed · EIA product supplied · FHWA vehicle miles traveled · BTS traffic data · Apple/Google mobility where available · AAA retail prices · NOAA weather/temperature data

Regional Gasoline Tightness Index

Inputs

PADD 1 East CoastPADD 2 MidwestPADD 3 Gulf CoastPADD 4 RockiesPADD 5 West Coast

Data sources

EIA PADD 1 gasoline stocks/imports/product supplied · NOAA AIS East Coast ports · port authority schedules · Colonial Pipeline notices if public · NY Harbor spot/futures proxies · EIA PADD 2 stocks/refinery utilization · regional refinery incident reports · PHMSA pipeline incidents · Midwest weather · Chicago basis proxies · EIA PADD 3 stocks/refinery utilization/imports/exports · NOAA AIS Gulf ports · NASA FIRMS · EPA/state incident data · Gulf weather/NHC · EIA PADD 4 stocks/refinery utilization · state fuel price data · regional weather · local refinery/news/state environmental notices · EIA PADD 5 stocks/refinery utilization/imports · California Energy Commission · CARB fuel data · West Coast AIS · refinery incident reports

East Coast Gasoline Stress Index

Inputs

PADD 1 inventoriesEurope-to-US product tanker arrivalsColonial Pipeline conditionsNY Harbor basisregional importsterminal congestion

Data sources

EIA WPSR PADD 1/sub-PADD gasoline stocks · EIA API · NOAA MarineCadastre AIS · AISStream · MarineTraffic/VesselFinder · port authority vessel arrivals · EU/UK port departure schedules where available · Colonial Pipeline public notices if available · PHMSA incident reports · FERC filings · local news · state emergency notices · CME RBOB · OPIS/Argus/Platts if licensed · EIA retail/wholesale proxies · broker quotes if available · EIA WPSR gasoline imports by PADD · EIA Company Level Imports · AIS-derived import cargo estimates · NOAA AIS berth/anchorage analysis · port authority schedules · terminal lineups if public · USCG notices · local marine traffic pages

Gulf Coast Refinery Outage Index

Inputs

refinery incidentsweather exposurefire detectionsutilization dropsemissions eventscompany noticespower outages

Data sources

EPA ECHO · state environmental agencies such as TCEQ/LDEQ · company press releases · local news · refinery community alerts · NOAA/NWS · NOAA nowCOAST · NHC tropical cyclone forecast tracks/wind radii · NOAA storm surge products · NASA FIRMS MODIS/VIIRS · NOAA HMS smoke/fire products · EIA WPSR refinery utilization by PADD · EIA refinery inputs · state emissions event databases · TCEQ Air Emission Event Reports · LDEQ incident reports · Refinery/operator press releases · SEC 8-K filings · investor relations updates · local emergency alerts · DOE OE-417 electric disturbance reports · EIA grid data · utility outage maps · PowerOutage.us

Refinery Utilization Surprise Index

Inputs

prior EIA utilizationoutage signalsseasonal maintenanceweather disruptionsrefinery restart indicatorscrude arrivals

Data sources

EIA WPSR historical refinery utilization by PADD · EIA API · NASA FIRMS · EPA ECHO · state incident reports · company notices · local news · PHMSA pipeline incidents · EIA refinery utilization seasonality · company maintenance announcements · trade press if licensed · historical outage calendars · NOAA/NWS · NHC · nowCOAST · FEMA disaster declarations · NASA FIRMS flaring/thermal signatures · local permits/emissions reports · company updates · AIS crude/product movements around refinery terminals · NOAA AIS · AISStream · port authority schedules · EIA crude imports · EIA refinery receipts

EIA Gasoline Inventory Surprise Estimator

Inputs

refinery outputgasoline importsgasoline exportsdemand proxiesproduct tanker flowsseasonalityprevious stock levels

Data sources

EIA WPSR gasoline production · EIA refinery net production by PADD · EIA WPSR imports · EIA Company Level Imports · AIS product tanker arrivals · EIA WPSR exports · U.S. Census trade data · AIS product tanker departures · EIA product supplied · FHWA VMT · BTS transportation data · retail price data · mobility data · weather/holiday calendar · NOAA AIS · AISStream · MarineTraffic/VesselFinder · port authority schedules · terminal lineups · EIA historical weekly data · NOAA climate normals · holiday calendar · historical demand/stocks seasonality · EIA WPSR historical gasoline stocks by PADD/sub-PADD

Gasoline Drawdown Risk Score

Inputs

low inventorieshigh implied demandweak importshigh exportsrefinery outage risksummer driving season

Data sources

EIA gasoline stocks · days-of-supply calculations from EIA stocks/product supplied · EIA product supplied · FHWA VMT · BTS traffic · weather · holiday calendar · retail price elasticity model · EIA gasoline imports · AIS product tanker arrivals · port authority schedules · EIA gasoline/product exports · AIS Gulf Coast departures · Census trade data · EIA utilization · NASA FIRMS · EPA/state incident reports · company notices · weather exposure · EIA historical demand · NOAA weather · AAA travel forecasts where public

Product Tanker Arrival Anomaly

Inputs

AIS product tanker arrivalsport callsberth visitsdraft changesorigin/destination

Data sources

NOAA MarineCadastre AIS · AISStream · MarineTraffic/VesselFinder · Spire/ExactEarth if licensed · Port authority vessel schedules · AIS port-call inference · MarineTraffic/VesselFinder public pages · AIS geofencing · NOAA AIS historical berth mapping · terminal geofences · port GIS data · AIS static/voyage messages where available · class/vessel databases · port authority manifests if public · AIS destination field · port-call sequence · port authority schedules · vessel tracking pages · customs/trade data

Product Export Pull Index

Inputs

Gulf Coast product tanker departuresEIA product exportsLatin America demandEurope arbitragefreight costs

Data sources

NOAA AIS · AISStream · Gulf port schedules · terminal lineups · EIA WPSR exports · EIA Petroleum Supply Monthly · Census trade data · Country energy ministries · customs/import data · JODI · IEA where available · local fuel shortage/news signals · CME RBOB · ICE gasoil/Brent · European spot benchmarks if licensed · freight rates · FX rates · Baltic Exchange if licensed · shipbroker reports · public tanker rate commentary · AIS voyage-time estimates

Gasoline Import Deficit Index

Inputs

AIS arrivalsEIA importsseasonal baselineknown cargo routesport schedules

Data sources

NOAA AIS · AISStream · MarineTraffic/VesselFinder · port schedules · EIA WPSR imports · EIA Company Level Imports · EIA API · EIA historical imports · historical AIS arrivals · holiday/calendar seasonality · AIS historical routes · port-pair history · EIA import origin data · customs/trade data · Port authority arrivals/departures · terminal schedules where public · USCG notices

Crude Supply Disruption Index

Inputs

tanker disruptionschokepoint riskssanctionsport closuresconflict proximityexport terminal outages

Data sources

AIS · port closure notices · USCG/NGA maritime warnings · UKMTO advisories · port authority notices · AIS chokepoint transits · Suez Canal Authority · Panama Canal Authority · Turkish Straits notices · USCG/NGA/UKMTO maritime advisories · OFAC SDN/Consolidated lists · EU sanctions map/list · UK OFSI · UN sanctions · OpenSanctions · Port authority notices · USCG Local Notices to Mariners · NOAA nowCOAST weather warnings · local government emergency notices · ACLED · GDELT · Liveuamap for alerts · ISW · official government/security advisories · Company notices · NASA FIRMS · local news · EPA/state incident reports

Gulf Coast Crude Feedstock Risk Index

Inputs

crude tanker arrivalspipeline disruptionsCushing flowsPADD 3 crude inventoriesimport delayshurricane risk

Data sources

NOAA AIS · AISStream · port authority schedules · EIA crude imports · PHMSA incidents · pipeline operator notices · FERC filings · state emergency reports · EIA Cushing stocks · EIA crude movements · pipeline operator data if public · CME WTI delivery context · EIA WPSR crude stocks by PADD · AIS arrival delays · port congestion metrics · USCG/port notices · weather data · NHC forecast track/wind radii · NOAA nowCOAST · refinery/terminal geofences

Crude Export Surge Index

Inputs

VLCC/Suezmax/Aframax departuresEIA crude exportsGulf Coast terminal activityBrent-WTI spread

Data sources

NOAA AIS · AISStream · Gulf Coast port/terminal schedules · vessel class databases · EIA WPSR crude exports · EIA Petroleum Supply Monthly · Census trade data · AIS berth geofencing · port authority lineups · terminal notices · satellite imagery where available · CME WTI · ICE Brent · market-data vendor · public delayed quote sources

Crude Import Shortfall Index

Inputs

AIS crude tanker arrivalsEIA crude importsorigin countrygrade proxyport delays

Data sources

NOAA AIS · AISStream · MarineTraffic/VesselFinder · port schedules · EIA WPSR crude imports · EIA Company Level Imports · customs/trade data · AIS last-port inference · EIA API gravity/sulfur data · import origin/terminal/refinery matching · crude assay databases if licensed · AIS anchorage time · port authority notices · USCG notices · weather/nowCOAST

Floating Storage Index

Inputs

stationary tankersdraftlocationdurationvessel classnear-port anchorage

Data sources

AIS speed/position clustering · anchorage geofences · MarineTraffic/VesselFinder · AIS draft field where reported · vessel-tracking services · port inspection/arrival records where public · AIS latitude/longitude · anchorage polygons · port/terminal geofences · AIS historical track timestamps · NOAA MarineCadastre · AISStream logs · IHS/Equasis if accessible · vessel registries · AIS ship type/dimensions · NOAA AIS · port anchorage polygons · nautical charts · port authority GIS

Dark Fleet Crude Disruption Index

Inputs

dark AIS gapsSTS transfer zonessanctioned vessel listsRussian/Iranian/Venezuelan routesflag changesownership opacity

Data sources

AIS track continuity from NOAA/AISStream/commercial AIS · gap-detection model · AIS loitering/proximity · known STS zones · satellite imagery · maritime advisories · OFAC · EU · UK OFSI · UN · OpenSanctions · AIS historical routes · EIA/import data · customs data · sanctions datasets · port-call histories · IMO/Equasis · vessel registries · MarineTraffic/VesselFinder · OFAC designations · Equasis/IMO registries · OFAC/EU/UK sanctions · OpenCorporates · corporate registries

Global Chokepoint Stress Index

Inputs

HormuzBab el-MandebSuezTurkish StraitsMalaccaPanama CanalCape of Good HopeDanish Straits

Data sources

AIS transit counts · UKMTO · NGA maritime safety warnings · regional port authorities · news verification · Suez Canal data · maritime advisories · Suez Canal Authority data · port/canal notices · Turkish maritime authority notices · port agent notices · regional maritime advisories · port authority data · Panama Canal Authority advisories/statistics · AIS · canal queue/booking data where public · AIS route deviation detection · South African port/weather notices · Danish maritime authority notices · weather/ice advisories

Hormuz Disruption Risk Score

Inputs

tanker transitsmilitary/security alertsAIS anomaliesinsurance/freight stressregional conflict signals

Data sources

AIS transit counts · MarineTraffic/VesselFinder · AISStream/commercial AIS · UKMTO · U.S. MARAD advisories · NGA maritime warnings · official government travel/security advisories · AIS gap/spoofing detection · cross-check with satellite imagery · Baltic Exchange if licensed · Lloyd’s/List market commentary · insurer/P&I club circulars · broker reports · ACLED · GDELT · ISW · official government/security advisories · verified news

Red Sea / Suez Rerouting Index

Inputs

Suez transitsBab el-Mandeb transitsCape of Good Hope reroutesvoyage distance addedfreight impact

Data sources

Suez Canal Authority · AIS transit counts · UKMTO · maritime advisories · AIS route classification · voyage distance/time calculation · historical route baselines · AIS route geometry · great-circle/routing model · port-pair baseline routes · Baltic Exchange if licensed · shipbroker reports · public freight commentary · ton-mile model from AIS

Panama Canal Energy Delay Index

Inputs

canal queuetransit restrictionswater levelsbookingsvessel wait time

Data sources

Panama Canal Authority · AIS anchorage counts · port/canal agent notices · Panama Canal Authority advisories · official canal notices · Panama Canal Authority hydrology if public · NOAA/meteorological data · rainfall datasets · Panama Canal Authority booking/auction notices where public · trade press if licensed · AIS anchorage/dwell time · canal queue reports · port-agent notices

Port Congestion Index

Inputs

vessels at anchorageberth occupancydwell timedeparture rateport closure noticesweather

Data sources

AIS · anchorage polygons · port authority anchorage lists · AIS berth geofencing · port authority berth schedules · terminal lineups · AIS berth arrival/departure timestamps · port authority data · AIS departures · port authority sailing schedules · Port authority notices · USCG Local Notices to Mariners · NOAA weather warnings · NOAA nowCOAST · NWS marine forecasts · NHC tropical data · local met/ocean sensors

Product Terminal Congestion Index

Inputs

MR/LR tanker queuesterminal berth dwellpipeline terminal activitystorage terminal flows

Data sources

AIS vessel class + anchorage geofences · port schedules · terminal lineups · AIS berth geofencing · terminal/port schedules · PHMSA incidents · pipeline operator notices · FERC filings · EIA movements where available · EIA stocks by facility type · terminal notices · AIS tanker calls · state/federal storage capacity data

Hurricane Refinery-at-Risk Barrels

Inputs

forecast storm pathwind radiirefinery locationscapacityflood/surge exposurehistorical outage sensitivity

Data sources

NHC forecast track GIS · NOAA nowCOAST · NHC wind radii GIS/advisories · EIA refinery capacity reports · EPA facility registry · state facility databases · EIA Refinery Capacity Report · EIA annual capacity tables · NOAA storm surge products · FEMA flood maps · NOAA coastal inundation data · EIA utilization history · past hurricane outage reports · company/local news archives · BSEE/DOE situation reports

Hurricane Offshore Production-at-Risk Barrels

Inputs

storm pathoffshore platform locationsproduction estimatesevacuation noticeswind radius

Data sources

NHC forecast track GIS · NOAA nowCOAST · BSEE offshore infrastructure/platform data · BOEM GIS datasets · BSEE production data · EIA Gulf of Mexico production data · BSEE hurricane activity statistics/notices · operator press releases · NHC wind radii/advisories

Freeze Disruption Index

Inputs

temperature anomaliesfreeze warningspower grid stressrefinery locationshistorical sensitivity

Data sources

NOAA NWS forecasts · NOAA climate data · NCEI · CPC outlooks · NWS watches/warnings/advisories · NOAA nowCOAST · EIA grid data · DOE OE-417 reports · ISO/RTO data · utility outage maps · EIA refinery capacity/location data · EPA facility registry · EIA utilization/stocks history · historical weather · outage/news archives

Wildfire / Smoke Infrastructure Risk Index

Inputs

fire perimetersthermal anomalieswind directioninfrastructure geofencesevacuation zones

Data sources

NIFC · state wildfire agencies · NASA FIRMS · NOAA HMS · NASA FIRMS MODIS/VIIRS · NOAA/NWS · HRRR/RAP model data · nowCOAST · EIA refinery/terminal data · HIFLD · EPA Facility Registry · PHMSA/NPMS public viewer · Local/county emergency management · FEMA/public alerts

RBOB Crack Pressure Score

Inputs

gasoline inventoriesrefinery outagesRBOB futuresWTI/Brentproduct importsproduct exportsdemand seasonality

Data sources

EIA WPSR gasoline stocks by PADD/sub-PADD · EIA utilization · NASA FIRMS · EPA/state incident reports · company notices · CME RBOB settlements · market-data vendor · CME WTI · ICE Brent · public delayed quotes/market-data vendor · EIA WPSR imports · EIA Company Level Imports · AIS arrivals · EIA WPSR exports · Census trade data · AIS departures · EIA product supplied history · FHWA VMT · holiday calendar · weather normals

ULSD Crack Pressure Score

Inputs

distillate stocksrefinery outagesexport demandwinter heating demandindustrial demandjet/diesel substitution

Data sources

EIA WPSR distillate stocks by PADD · EIA utilization · NASA FIRMS · EPA/state incident reports · company notices · EIA distillate exports · Census trade · AIS clean-product departures · destination-country import data · NOAA HDD data · EIA heating oil/propane updates · regional weather forecasts · Federal Reserve industrial production · diesel product supplied · trucking/rail data · EIA jet fuel/distillate data · airline activity data · refinery yield data

RBOB Calendar Spread Stress Score

Inputs

front-month RBOBsecond-month RBOBseasonal spread normsinventory levelsdelivery constraints

Data sources

CME RBOB settlements/quotes · CME historical settlements · internal historical database · EIA gasoline stocks · days-of-supply · Port/terminal congestion · pipeline notices · USCG notices · refinery outages · weather

Spot-vs-Futures Basis Stress Index

Inputs

public spot proxiesbasis indicatorsrack proxiesregional inventoriesproduct flowsterminal congestion

Data sources

CME RBOB · EIA retail · AAA retail · state fuel indexes · public procurement fuel-price indexes · OPIS/Argus/Platts if licensed · broker quotes · CME futures · regional retail-rack proxy models · OPIS/DTN/Argus if licensed · state contract fuel indexes · fleet fuel surcharge indexes · retail minus futures model · EIA PADD/sub-PADD gasoline stocks · AIS tanker flows · EIA imports/exports · port schedules · AIS berth/anchorage dwell · terminal lineups

Retail Pass-Through Pressure Index

Inputs

RBOBwholesale proxiesstate retail pricestaxesregional inventoriesdistribution margins

Data sources

CME RBOB futures · CME RBOB · OPIS/Argus/Platts if licensed · public state procurement/fuel indexes · EIA Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update · AAA Gas Prices · state fuel price datasets · EIA motor fuel taxes · state revenue/tax agency data · API tax reports if public · EIA PADD/sub-PADD gasoline stocks · Retail price minus RBOB/wholesale proxy · EIA retail/wholesale data · rack data if licensed

Energy Volatility Risk Index

Inputs

inventory tightnesschokepoint stressweather riskgeopolitical event countoptions volatilityfreight stress

Data sources

EIA stocks/days-of-supply · inventory cushion metrics · AIS transit counts · canal/strait notices · maritime advisories · NOAA/NHC/NWS/nowCOAST · ACLED · GDELT · official advisories · verified news · CME options implied volatility · market-data vendor · CFTC positioning for context · Baltic Exchange if licensed · shipbroker reports · AIS ton-mile model

Weekly Petroleum Balance Surprise Score

Inputs

crude stocksgasoline stocksdistillate stocksrefinery utilizationimports/exportsproduction

Data sources

EIA WPSR crude stocks · Cushing stocks · EIA WPSR gasoline stocks · EIA WPSR distillate stocks · EIA WPSR utilization · EIA WPSR imports/exports · EIA Company Level Imports · Census trade · AIS · EIA field production · refinery net production · Petroleum Supply Monthly

Gasoline Demand Implied Surprise

Inputs

mobility proxiesseasonalityretail pricesweatherholiday effectsinventory drawproduct supplied trend

Data sources

FHWA VMT · BTS data · Apple/Google mobility if available · traffic sensor datasets · EIA product supplied history · holiday calendar · school calendar · weather normals · EIA Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update · AAA Gas Prices · NOAA/NWS · temperature, precipitation, severe weather · Federal holiday calendar · travel calendars · AAA travel forecasts where public · EIA weekly gasoline stock changes · EIA product supplied weekly/monthly

Inventory Cushion Index

Inputs

current stocks5-year min/maxdays of supplyseasonal demandimport dependency

Data sources

EIA stocks by product/PADD · EIA historical stocks · internally calculated seasonal ranges · EIA stocks divided by product supplied · EIA days-of-supply tables where available · EIA product supplied history · FHWA VMT · weather/holiday seasonality · EIA imports by PADD/product · AIS arrivals · Census trade

Days-of-Supply Stress Index

Inputs

regional stocksimplied demandseasonal demand

Data sources

EIA PADD/sub-PADD stocks · EIA product supplied · regional demand proxies · VMT · EIA historical product supplied · FHWA VMT · weather/holiday calendar

NY Harbor Gasoline Basis Risk Score

Inputs

PADD 1 stocksimportstanker arrivalsterminal congestionColonial Pipeline constraintsRBOB spreads

Data sources

EIA PADD 1/sub-PADD gasoline stocks · EIA PADD 1 imports · EIA Company Level Imports · AIS arrivals · NOAA AIS · AISStream · port schedules · AIS berth/anchorage dwell · port authority schedules · terminal notices · Colonial Pipeline public notices · PHMSA · FERC · local news · CME RBOB calendar spreads · market-data vendor

Chicago / Midwest Gasoline Basis Risk Score

Inputs

PADD 2 stocksregional refinery utilizationpipeline flowsMidwest refinery outagesseasonal demand

Data sources

EIA PADD 2 gasoline stocks · EIA PADD 2 refinery utilization · refinery incident reports · PHMSA incident data · pipeline operator notices · FERC filings · EIA movements where available · EPA/state incident reports · NASA FIRMS · local news · company notices · EIA product supplied · FHWA VMT · weather/holiday calendar

Gulf Coast Product Basis Risk Score

Inputs

PADD 3 refinery runsexportsproduct stocksterminal congestionhurricane risk

Data sources

EIA PADD 3 refinery inputs/utilization · EIA product exports · Census trade · AIS departures · EIA PADD 3 gasoline/distillate stocks · AIS · port schedules · terminal lineups · USCG notices · NHC/NOAA storm data · refinery/terminal geofences

West Coast Gasoline Isolation Index

Inputs

PADD 5 inventoriesCalifornia refinery outagesmarine importslocal fuel specsport congestionAlaska/import flows

Data sources

EIA PADD 5 gasoline stocks · California Energy Commission · CARB · local air district notices · EPA ECHO · NASA FIRMS · company notices · AIS arrivals · EIA imports · port schedules · CARB gasoline regulations/specifications · state regulatory notices · AIS berth/anchorage analysis · port authority schedules · weather/marine notices · EIA PADD 5 imports/movements · AIS tanker flows

Transatlantic Gasoline Arb Signal

Inputs

European gasoline pricesNY Harbor/RBOBfreight ratestanker availabilityarrival patternsinventory levels

Data sources

Argus/Platts/ICE if licensed · public market proxies · national price data · CME RBOB · NYH basis via OPIS/Argus/Platts if licensed · Baltic Exchange if licensed · shipbroker reports · AIS voyage-time/ton-mile model · AIS fleet positioning · vessel class database · port/anchorage counts · AIS port-call history · NOAA MarineCadastre · port schedules · EIA PADD 1 stocks · European inventory data if available · ARA stocks via paid/public reports

Gulf Coast Export Arb Signal

Inputs

U.S. Gulf Coast product pricesLatin America demandEurope/Africa pricesfreight ratesEIA exportsAIS departures

Data sources

CME RBOB/ULSD · OPIS/Argus/Platts if licensed · public proxies · Country import data · JODI · local energy ministry data · fuel shortage/news signals · Argus/Platts/ICE if licensed · national price datasets · Baltic Exchange if licensed · shipbroker reports · AIS voyage model · EIA WPSR product exports · Petroleum Supply Monthly · NOAA AIS · AISStream · port schedules · terminal lineups

Clean Tanker Freight Stress Index

Inputs

MR/LR vessel availabilityroute congestionton-mile demandwar-risk reroutingport delays

Data sources

AIS fleet positions · vessel class registries · port/anchorage counts · commercial vessel databases · AIS chokepoint/port congestion · canal authority data · port notices · AIS voyages · origin-destination inference · EIA/Census trade volumes · AIS route deviation · UKMTO/MARAD/NGA advisories · insurance/P&I circulars · AIS dwell/anchorage time · port authority schedules · USCG notices

Dirty Tanker Freight Stress Index

Inputs

VLCC/Suezmax/Aframax availabilityOPEC flowssanctionsroute deviationsfloating storage

Data sources

AIS fleet positions · vessel registries · port/anchorage counts · AIS crude departures · OPEC/JODI data · EIA imports by origin · port schedules · OFAC/EU/UK/UN sanctions · OpenSanctions · vessel designation datasets · AIS route classification · maritime advisories · chokepoint transits · AIS stationary tanker detection · draft · anchorage duration · satellite imagery

Sanctioned Barrel Flow Index

Inputs

sanctioned vessel listsdark fleet AISSTS zonesflag/ownership changesorigin/destination patterns

Data sources

OFAC · EU · UK OFSI · UN · OpenSanctions · AIS gaps/spoofing detection · AISStream/commercial AIS · satellite corroboration · AIS proximity/loitering · known STS geofences · satellite imagery · maritime advisories · Equasis/IMO · vessel registries · OFAC/EU/UK lists · corporate registries · AIS port-call history · customs/trade data · EIA import origins · port schedules

Sanctions Enforcement Shock Risk

Inputs

new sanctionsvessel designationsport denialsinsurance restrictionsownership network changes

Data sources

OFAC press releases/data · EU Official Journal · UK OFSI · UN sanctions updates · OpenSanctions · OFAC SDN/Consolidated lists · EU/UK/UN vessel designations · Port authority notices · local news · maritime advisories · sanctions enforcement announcements · P&I club circulars · Lloyd’s market notices · OFAC/EU/UK guidance · Corporate registries · Equasis/IMO · OpenCorporates · OFAC beneficial ownership info

Conflict-Proximity Energy Risk Index

Inputs

conflict eventsportsrefineriespipelinesterminalsshipping lanes

Data sources

ACLED · GDELT · official security advisories · verified news · World Port Index · port authority GIS · AIS port geofences · EIA refinery data · EPA facility registry · OSM/HIFLD infrastructure layers · PHMSA/NPMS public viewer for U.S. · operator maps · OSM/HIFLD · government infrastructure datasets · EIA terminal/storage data where available · port authority data · AIS historical routes · chokepoint geofences · maritime advisories

Driving Demand Pressure Index

Inputs

seasonalityholiday calendarweatherretail pricesmobility proxiesemployment/calendar effects

Data sources

EIA product supplied · FHWA VMT history · holiday/school calendars · Federal holiday calendar · AAA travel forecasts where public · historical travel data · NOAA/NWS · temperature, precipitation, severe weather · EIA Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update · AAA Gas Prices · FHWA VMT · BTS traffic · Apple/Google mobility where available · traffic sensor/open-data portals · BLS employment data · payroll calendar · school calendars · holiday calendar

Price Elasticity Stress Score

Inputs

retail gasoline pricesincome/geographyhistorical demand responseseasonality

Data sources

EIA retail gasoline prices · AAA Gas Prices · state fuel price data · BEA personal income · Census ACS · BLS regional wage/income data · EIA product supplied · FHWA VMT · historical retail prices · EIA demand history · weather/holiday calendar

Consumer Fuel Burden Index

Inputs

retail gasoline pricesaverage miles drivenregional incomevehicle efficiency assumptions

Data sources

EIA retail gasoline prices · AAA Gas Prices · state fuel price data · FHWA VMT · NHTS · BTS transportation data · BEA regional personal income · Census ACS · BLS wage data · EPA fuel economy data · DOE/Fueleconomy.gov · FHWA vehicle fleet statistics

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